noiseorsignal.exetoday
./calls/009.mdOpening
call #9 · verdict: opening

A 125B model can now run on one gaming GPU

The real change is not the 100 tokens per second claim. A large model now runs on hardware many developers own.

But the headline has a catch.
A tool called Strata runs Qwen3.8-Flash-Next at home. The model has 125B parameters and it is open-weight (huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.8-Flash-Next).
The HN title says "RTX 4090 at 100 tokens per second". The project docs do not measure a 4090. They report 94 tokens per second on a 12GB RTX 5070 with 64GB of RAM, and an estimate for the RTX 3090 (braindetox.kr/en/posts/qwen38_flash_next_125b_local_inference_2026.html).

My read: the real change is not the 100 number. A large model now runs on hardware many developers own.
Your pick: if you have a 12GB+ GPU and 64GB of RAM, try it on one real task this week. Do not trust the speed claim until you measure it.

12 months: local 100B-class models become normal for dev tools.
24 months: private coding agents run on laptops.
36 months: cloud APIs keep only the hardest jobs.

I could be wrong. The numbers are self-reported and nobody has reproduced them. RAM and SSD speed may decide your result.

What would you run locally if cost were zero?

Source: huggingface.co ↗

./predictions3 dated

Predictions

HorizonPredictionDueStatus
12mLocal 100B-class models become normal for dev tools.PENDING
24mPrivate coding agents run on laptops.PENDING
36mCloud APIs keep only the hardest jobs.PENDING
Each prediction is graded HIT or MISS when it comes due.Scorecard →
./discuss